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Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund 28.04.2015 – DFB-Pokal


Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Dortmund / DFB-Pokal – The first semi-final pair of German Cup is by many a final before the final, although Borussia doesn’t have a season that it expected. This is in fact their last chance to make something out of it and to save the season with a trophy. Bayern, on the other hand, has practically secured the new title, still plays in the Champions League, so the Cup is just a bonus.  Both teams won in last two rounds, and Bayern also has the great triumph in the Champions League. Bayern won both their head-to-heads this season but both time minimally, 2-1 in Munich and 1-0 in Dortmund. Bayern won last season final after extra time 2-0, while Borussia won by the same result their Super Cup match played at the beginning of the season. Begins: 28.04.2015 – 20:30 CET

Bayern Munich

It can be said that Bayern has ended with a mini-crisis who didn’t affect much the result but had left a mark on their play, which was weaker than usual. It started with the defeat at home by Borussia M’gladbach and after that they barely passed Bayer in the semi-finals of the Cup after penalties, which was followed by the shocking defeat in Porto in the Champions League. It appears that the Bavarians narrowly escaped elimination from even two competition in a short period of time, however, they have quickly consolidated their ranks and showed their true colours against Porto, who was steamrolled in the second leg by even 6-1-

It was obviously a cathartic experience and on Saturday they have again played a bit more weakly than usual against Hertha but they nevertheless won by 1-0. A changed team had to play because of numerous injuries and fatigue, but now the situation is getting better. After a long time J. Martinez in again on the roster, while Robben and Banatia will stay on the bench so out of action are just Alaba, Badstuber and Ribery.

Probable lineups Bayern Munich: Neuer – Rafinha, Boateng, Dante, J. Bernat – Xabi Alonso, Lahm – Alcantara, M. Gotze, T. Muller – Lewandowski

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia had has many internal struggles but has finally finished with crises and in the finish of the season wants to show its true capacities and reach at least one out of two objectives. The first one is to qualify for the Europa League and they are getting to those positions in the standings although still have three points less than the sixth position. Maybe the seventh place will do, depending from the Cup outcome, and rightly that is the second objective of the Millionaires. Winning of the Cup would be a true remedy for their pain but to do such thing they have firstly to win Bayern in Munich.

They managed to do exactly that in previous season but this one is especially difficult for Borussia and they are aware of the difficulties. Good intro was two victories in a row with a clean sheet, over Paderborn and Eintracht. Coach Klopp had changed the team a lot in those matches, partially because of injuries and partially because of fatigue, but now he will not play tactic. He cannot count on goalie Weindenfeller, who also didn’t defent on Saturday but Raus should be the starter, just like Gundogan.

Probable lineups Borussia Dortmund: Langerak – Durm, Hummels, Sokratis, Schmelzer – S. Bender, Gundogan – Blaszczykowski, Kagawa, Reus – Aubameyang

Bayern Munich – Borussia Dortmund PICK

Bayern is always a favourite when it plays at home and it is especially now when Borussia is not that good. The Bavarians are now fully complete and have fewer problems with absences while the guest are without their first goalkeeper, which only makes the impression stronger that Borussia will not be able to fight back and will therefore lose, even by higher goal difference.

Pick: Asian handicap -1 Bayern

Stake: 5/10

Odds: 1.83 at bet365 (down to 1.73 can be played)

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